how to predict central bank rate changes
7 Silent Signals That Predict Interest Rates
In March 2023, three U.S. banks failed over five days, a shock that underscored how quickly market signals translate into rate moves. The seven silent signals that predict interest-rate changes are Treasury yield spread shifts, loan-to-deposit ratios, the Fed’s preferred inflation metric, dot-plot projections, minute-language cues, dissenting votes,